Probability Of Bears Win Over Falcons In Week 11

Justin Fields
Justin Fields Photo credit Getty Images

In Week 11, the Chicago Bears (3-7 SU, 4-5-1 ATS, 6-4 O/U) travel to take on the Atlanta Falcons (4-6 SU, 6-4 ATS, 5-5 O/U) at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. This will be a crucial week for Chicago to get back on track and snap a three-game losing streak.

Per BetQL’s game page, the Bears have a 37.1% chance to win this game, even after their last two defeats came by four total points.

BetQL projection
BetQL projection Photo credit BetQL

However, there is a clear path to victory. BetQL simulated this game 10,000 times and when the Bears committed fewer turnovers than the Falcons, they won 68% of the time. So, the data suggests that if they can take care of the football and force a takeaway or two, the Bears have a solid chance to win. You can find much more insight and info in BetQL’s free NFL Playbook.

According to BetQL’s NFL best bets, over 24 total first-half points is a five-star (max) value, which makes it one of the best bets of the week. Historically, the model has gone 30-14 (68.2%) on first-half Bears O/U bets and if you bet $100 on each, you’d be up $1,264 right now.

Take advantage now! Bet this risk-free at BetMGM right now up to $1,000 if you don’t already have an account there.

Be sure to check out BetQL’s other best bets for this game, along with player prop values, live public and sharp data, betting trends, exclusive sportsbook offers and so much more! The model has gone 51-32 (61.5%) on four and five-star bets over the last month, so this is the time to jump aboard! Get started with a free trial now!

Featured Image Photo Credit: Getty Images