“My guess is late ’21, more likely ’22… In my humble opinion, it’s going to be 2022. It’s going to take that long before, what I call, the germaphobic economy is slowly killed off and replaced by the claustrophobia economy — that’s when people want to get out and go out to dinner and have their lives, go to festivals and shows. It’s my instinct, that’s going to take a while because super-spreader events — sports, shows, festivals, etc. — aren’t going to do too well when the virus is this present," Marc Geiger said.
Geiger said there's “probably 20” obstacles that are still standing in the way of concert and festivals returning to regular operation.
“The virus and illness being one, spacing and density, with COVID, there’s infinite liability… the next six months may be more painful than the last six months, and maybe the next six months after that are even more so.”
Between logistics, insurance and the fact that most people still don’t want to attend an event with a large crowd, it’s looking like it could be quite a while before the concerts and festivals we all know and love are in full swing again.
When asked about drive-in concerts and other alternatives, Geiger said they were “gimmick” and a “temporary stopgap solution.”
It's a total bummer.