Poll: North Carolina a toss-up battleground state two weeks before election

Biden favored over Trump in the latest ABC
Joe Biden
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Two weeks from Election Day and North Carolina is a dead heat in two critical races.

Joe Biden holds a one-point lead over Donald Trump, according to a new poll by ABC News/Washington Post on Tuesday morning.

Likely voters in the Tar Heel state favor the former Vice President by a 49 percent to 48 percent margin over the President. The Democratic nominee’s narrow lead over the Republican incumbent sits within the survey’s margin of error of 4.5 percentage points.

Biden’s standing is boosted by his support among women, 54 percent of whom support him to Trump’s 43 percent, though that is smaller than his 23-point advantage among women nationally in a recent Post-ABC poll. Men in North Carolina prefer Trump by a 10-point margin; that group splits evenly between the candidates nationwide.

Former President Obama won North Carolina in 2008, but lost the state to Republican nominee Mitt Romney in 2012. Trump took the state in 2016, defeating Hillary Clinton by 3.8 percentage points.

The poll also shows signs of trouble for Sen. Thom Tillis in his race against Cal Cunningham. A total of 49 percent of likely voters still support the Democratic challenger despite Cunningham in hot water over a sexting scandal. Tillis takes 47 percent of the poll, but no real movement since the news of the scandal broke.

The ABC-Post poll was conducted by Langer Research Associates from Oct. 12-17, surveying a random sample of 646 North Carolina likely voters.

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