(BetMGM/WGR Sports Radio 550) - The Buffalo Bills’ game against the Seattle Seahawks in Week 8 was just their fourth regular-season road game in the Pacific time zone in the last seven seasons. And with the 31-10 win, the Bills improved to 4-0 in those games.
In all other road games since 2018, the Bills are 28-21 (.571).
The four-game winning streak comes after a brutal stretch with only one win in their previous nine Pacific games. Overall in these games since 2005, they’re 5-8 (.385). In all other road games since 2005, the Bills are 61-80 (.432).
How does that compare to other NFL teams in cross-country games? Do teams struggle when crossing two time zones?
Since 2005, against the moneyline:
- Eastern-to-Pacific teams have a winning percentage of .440. That’s good enough for a return on investment of approximately 6%, if you bet the road team in each of those 277 games.
- Pacific-to-Eastern teams have a winning percentage of .484, a return of approximately 3%.
- In all other games, road teams have a winning percentage of .410, an ROI of approximately -3%.
Not only do these cross-country teams win at a higher percentage, they appear to be getting more favorable moneylines, potentially due, in part, to bettors overestimating the effect the trip has on the game result.
As of Tuesday’s Week 14 NFL odds at BetMGM, the Bills are a -210 moneyline favorite against the Los Angeles Rams. Their last loss as a moneyline favorite came in Week 10 last season, a 24-22 home loss to the Denver Broncos.
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