New poll: Edwards 50%, Rispone 47%

Cover Image

A new poll in the Louisiana governor's race shows a tight one with incumbent Democrat John Bel Edwards and Republican challenger Eddie Rispone within the margin of error of each other.

The "My People Vote" poll gives Governor Edwards just over 50 percent, while Eddie Rispone is close behind at 47 percent.

The margin of error is 3.6 percent. Political analyst Ed Chervenak says the results show a nearly dead-even race heading into the final two weeks.

"It is tight, the margin between the two candidates is within the margin of error," said Chervenak. "Both of the two polls do show Governor Edwards ahead, but only slightly."

The other poll Chervenak mentioned, by JMC Analytics, puts the race at 48 percent to 46 percent in favor of Edwards.

The poll shows no real gender gap to speak of between the two candidates. Chervenak says there’s next to no partisan drift, either.

"Republicans are solidly behind Rispone, Democrats same with Governor Edwards," Chervenak said. "We do see a racial split as well, blacks are for the Democratic candidate and whites are for the Republican."

Only three percent of likely voters surveyed were still undecided. Chervenak says that means the race is going to come down to who can inspire their voters to show up on November 16.

"The key is going to be turnout. The campaign that has the best ground game and mobilizes the most people to the polls is going to be the one that ends up victorious," said Chervenak.

The survey polled likely voters, who Chervenak says are more likely to have made up their mind than the average registered voter.