While there are still too many unknown factors on what will happen in the Gulf of Mexico over the next five days, we should start getting a better idea soon about the future of a low pressure trough moving south out of Georgia.
WWL TV Meteorologist Dave Nussbaum says the system, labeled Invest 92, gets over water Wednesday morning.
"It will actually be there in the Gulf of Mexico," he explained. "Then we will start to see that process as it is going to try to become from a nontropical low into more of a tropical low."
He says right now there is a surface level low over Georgia and an upper level low over Alabama that must line up for us to see tropical development.
"The two of them have to stack on top of each other for this to be a decent, developed tropical system."
"Once the disturbance is over water, environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for development and a tropical depression is likely to form by the end of the week," Senior Hurricane Specialist Stacy Stewart said.
The big threat is possible flooding somewhere from Texas the Florida.
"This system has the potential to produce heavy rainfall along portions of the northern and eastern U.S. Gulf Coast later this week."
Nussbaum says the model information will get much more accurate on Thursday, but for now we need to prepare for four to eight inches of rain along the coast over three or four days.
"The forecast models stretch anywhere from... Mobile Alabama to Houston Texas."
"Interests along the Gulf Coast from the Upper Texas coast to the western Florida peninsula should monitor the progress of this system," according to the Hurricane Center.
Meanwhile, the Governor’s Office of Homeland Security and Emergency Preparedness (GOHSEP) is urging the people of Louisiana to monitor the forecast over the next several days.