The National Oceanic Atmospheric Association has revised its earlier hurricane predictions for the 2022 season.
Lead hurricane outlook forecaster Matthew Rosencrans said while conditions still favor an above-average season, “we are now predicting likely ranges of tropical storm and hurricane activity to be 14 to 20 named storms, of which six to ten could become hurricanes.”
NOAA expects three to five of those hurricanes will become major storms of category three or higher.
Ninety percent of all Atlantic tropical cyclone activity occurs from August to October, and that’s why Rosencrans said they revise their previous predictions for the season in August.
“Please keep in mind that NOAA’s hurricane season outlook is a general guide for the overall season activity and does not specifically predict landfalling storms,” said Rosencrans.
He said they can only predict a week before if a storm will most likely make landfall.
Rosencrans said while the tropics have been relatively calm the last few weeks, atmospheric conditions for an above-average season remains in place.
“So now is the time to know your risk, develop a plan, and be prepared for potential tropical storms or hurricanes ahead,” said Rosencrans.
The Atlantic hurricane season ends on November 30.