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Tropical Storm Eta expected in Caribbean

Tropics

The National Hurricane Center is watching a disturbance in the Caribbean that is expected to become the next named storm.

If the system becomes Eta, it would be the furthest we've ever gone into the Greek alphabet for storm names.


"Shower activity continues to become better organized in association with a tropical wave located over the eastern Caribbean Sea," the Hurricane Center advised. "Conditions are conducive for further development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form this weekend or early next week as the system moves into the central and western Caribbean Sea."

The NHC gives the wave a 70 to 80 percent chance of development.

WWL TV Meteorologist Dave Nussbaum says, "Forecast models are showing development of this system, and a tropical depression or storm (Eta) could form early next week."

He says the models are in large agreement that the system will head for Central America.

"It will stay in the SW Caribbean and away from the northern Gulf of Mexico for now."

Here are the forecast models:

Tropics

Some people have been posting longer range models to social media that show part of the system drifting into the Gulf over the next couple of weeks into mid-November.  It is too early to know if that will happen.