Biden is closing the gap on Trump

President Joe Biden speaks to members of the United Steel Workers Union at the United Steel Workers Headquarters on April 17, 2024 in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.
President Joe Biden speaks to members of the United Steel Workers Union at the United Steel Workers Headquarters on April 17, 2024 in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Photo credit Jeff Swensen/Getty Images

While earlier this year, former President Donald Trump had a mounting lead on President Joe Biden in almost every poll, the tides appear to be slowing as Biden closes the gap.

A new national poll from NBC News found that Biden is only two points behind Trump, as a hypothetical rematch found that 44% of respondents would vote for another term for Biden and 46% would vote for Trump’s return to office.

In January, the same poll found that 42% of voters would support Biden and 47% would support Trump if they had a rematch in November.

The trend isn’t just reflected in one poll either, as The Hill’s Decision Desk HQ, which compiles results from national polls, also has Trump’s lead over Biden slimming, currently sitting at 45.3% to 44.4%.

A USA Today/Suffolk University poll from last month showed Trump was leading Biden 40% to 38%.

Still, some show Trump having a stronger lead over Biden, as the latest Emerson College poll found that 51.5% of voters would vote for Trump and 48.5% for Biden.

As for the latest NBC News poll, Trump was found to have an advantage with men, white voters, and white voters without a college degree, while Biden led among Black voters, Latino voters, and women.

Among young voters and independents, what some experts have said could decide the election, both men were effectively tied.

The top issues for voters going into the 2024 election were inflation, cost of living, and immigration.

The poll also found that results were more skewed when third-party candidates were offered to respondents.

In a field that included Trump, Biden, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Cornel West, and Jill Stein, 39% of voters would support Biden while only 37% would choose Trump.

However, pollsters did note that both this result and the head-to-head results were difficult to predict, as there was a margin of error of 3.1 percentage points.

The poll was conducted from April 12-16 and included responses from 1,000 registered voters.

Featured Image Photo Credit: Jeff Swensen/Getty Images