Forecasters are watching a surface low over the Bay of Campeche, but its chances of development into a tropical storm are very low.
"A broad area of low pressure has formed over the far southern Bay of Campeche and is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms," said Robbie Berg with the National Hurricane Center.
However, this first system of note of the 2026 hurricane season is not expected to do much.
"Environmental conditions are forecast to be only marginally conducive for development before the system moves inland over eastern Mexico late Saturday or Sunday," Berg said. "The system could re-emerge over the northwestern Gulf on Tuesday and Wednesday while interacting with a frontal boundary, but there too, conditions are only expected to be marginally conducive for any development."





