A surface-level trough of low pressure over the Yucatan peninsula is made of disorganized rain activity, but the National Hurricane Center is paying attention to it for possible development in the Gulf of Mexico next week.
The disturbance will move north into the Gulf of Mexico on Sunday, but condition for development there aren't as favorable as they were last week.
"Unfavorable upper-level winds are expected to limit development through Monday," says Jack Beven, Senior Hurricane Specialist at the National Hurricane Center, "Environmental conditions could become marginally favorable for some gradual development on Tuesday or Wednesday."
While the disturbance has little to no chance of development over the next 48 hours, the hurricane center gives it a 30 percent chance of development over the next five days.
Hurricane Larry strengthened overnight to become the season's latest major storm. It is forecast to curve north into open ocean and is not forecast to directly threaten land at this time.
