Since Anthony Davis has been downgraded to doubtful with his ankle ailment tonight, LeBron James is an awesome bet to record a triple-double and +475 at BetRivers is the best price you can find at the moment. With eight triple-doubles already under his belt (27.58% of his 29 games played), this outcome has 17.39% implied odds, thus indicating that there’s some value here, not even factoring in the extra individual upside King James is going to get with his co-star out.
Averaging 23.4 points (on 18.0 field goal attempts) with 7.7 rebounds (11.7 rebounding chances) and 8.9 assists (on 15.7 potential assists) in 35.0 minutes, James has triple-double upside every time he takes the floor. This matchup against the Blazers is a great one, as they rank 23rd in team rebounding rate, 28th in Defensive Rating and 23rd in assists allowed per contest.
Davis is averaging 26.1 points (on 18.0 field goal attempts) with 11.6 rebounds (19.2 rebounding chances) and 3.5 assists (5.2 potential assists). While all of the extra opportunities won’t go to James with him out, James has seen a 4.35% usage rate boost in 339 minutes with AD off the floor this season, along with a 3.08% rebounding rate. James has recorded double-digit assists in two of his last three games and since LA shipped off D’Angelo Russell, the team feels very comfortable committing to the future Hall of Famer as their de-facto point guard and floor general.
At +550, I’m happy to back the King as I begin my personal quest to be the triple-double prop betting king. I still have to come up with a better name than that, though.
Related
