Looking for the best NCAAF parlay for Week 4? This week, we’re highlighting a +113 parlay that features three reliable picks: Oregon State, Miami, and Memphis. Each of these teams is heavily favored in their respective matchups, making this parlay a strong value option for bettors looking to maximize returns. With a combined implied probability of 46.95%, it offers more than just a safe bet—it provides a great potential payoff.
Starting with Oregon State, they are favored on the moneyline at -210 against Purdue. Oregon State has been impressive at home, winning 11 of their last 13 games in Corvallis. They are facing a Purdue defense that is reeling after giving up 362 rushing yards in a 66-7 loss to Notre Dame last week. This sets up Oregon State’s running backs, Anthony Hankerson and Jam Griffin, for potentially huge performances. BetQL projections are even more optimistic, giving Oregon State a 76.74% chance of winning, translating to -329 odds—significantly better than what’s offered at BetMGM.
Next, we turn to Miami, who is taking on South Florida as the heavy favorite at -800. Historically, Miami has dominated this matchup, winning five of their last six games against South Florida. This season, Miami is firing on all cylinders, led by Heisman Trophy frontrunner Cam Ward. The Hurricanes' offense has been clicking, and BetQL’s projections give Miami a 94.24% chance of victory, far exceeding the implied odds at BetMGM. With Ward leading the charge, Miami’s confidence should be sky-high going into this game.
Finally, Memphis rounds out the parlay with a moneyline pick at -350 against Navy. Memphis has owned this rivalry in recent years, winning the last five meetings between the teams. Coming off an impressive win at Florida State, Memphis looks poised to continue their dominance over Navy. BetQL projects an 83.17% win probability for Memphis, which aligns with the confidence bettors should have in the Tigers. With a balanced offense and solid defense, Memphis is positioned for success once again.
What makes this parlay particularly attractive is the comparison between BetMGM’s odds and BetQL’s projections. According to BetQL, the combined win probability for these three picks is 60.15%, translating to -151 implied odds, which indicates that the parlay provides much better value than initially suggested by BetMGM’s odds. This Week 4 parlay offers both security and an excellent return on investment. With Oregon State, Miami, and Memphis all in favorable positions to win, this parlay is one worth placing for bettors looking for a combination of value and confidence.
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