NFL Week 16’s Sunday slate features a mix of pivotal matchups and intriguing betting opportunities. From underdogs looking to cover key numbers to sharp line movements signaling value, this week’s action offers plenty for bettors to analyze. In this article, we’ll break down our top bets, including the Jets hosting the Rams, the Seahawks taking on the Vikings, the Raiders trying to snap a losing streak against the Jaguars, and the 49ers visiting the Dolphins. Whether you're chasing upsets or spotting sharp money trends, these picks are crafted to give you an edge. Let’s dive into the analysis!
Jets (4-10) +3 vs. Rams (8-6): -110, BetMGM
In full disclosure, I bet the Jets at +3.5 for -115 odds on DraftKings a couple of days ago. That number is now gone, and the best price you can get right now is +3 for -110 odds on BetMGM. It is still very important to at least get the 3 here and a field goal, although now you will risk a push at that number.
This was a pretty obvious bet to me, as you just know that everyone and their brother will be betting on the red-hot Rams coming into this against the toxic poison that is the New York Jets. Los Angeles has won three straight games, including a win over the Buffalo Bills in there and last week’s road win over the 49ers. People have fallen in love with them again, just like last season when they were also the “team you don’t want to see in the playoffs” for 2023.
Betting on the Jets has been a disgusting experience this year, so this is for only the strong stomachs. Despite the Rams getting over 70% of the tickets and money to cover the spread, the line has moved from that +3.5 to +3 in favor of the Jets. It is pretty clear that respected money is on New York here, otherwise that line doesn’t move the way it does.
Seahawks (8-6) +3 vs. Vikings (12-2): -108, DraftKings
The Minnesota Vikings have now won seven straight football games and have looked phenomenal doing so. The Seattle Seahawks got exposed last weekend against the Green Bay Packers at home, suffering a blowout 30-13 loss. We see here once again where every bet and all the money is flowing in on the Vikings, which you would certainly expect after last week’s outcomes.
I still think Minnesota is a fraud that will get exposed sooner or later. That doesn’t mean I think Seattle is good, but the respect the Vikings are getting is just too much for me. In their current win streak, they haven’t beaten a single team over .500 and have had one of the easiest schedules in the league. Congrats on beating my Bears, we have been one of the most dysfunctional franchises in the league for 30 years.
This is selling high on the Vikings and buying the Seahawks at a low point. I think getting +3 is very important here, and wouldn’t play it at anything less. The Seahawks can win, of course, but I would feel far better getting the key number.
Raiders (2-12) -1.5 vs. Jaguars (3-11): -108, BetRivers
The Raiders, who are 2-12 on the season and have lost about a million games in a row, are FAVORITES in a football game. Yes, you read that correctly, they are actually favored to win a football game. You are probably asking yourself why that is the case. Well, playing the 3-11 Jaguars has a lot to do with it for sure, as well as being at home. Still, people are certainly going to take the plus money with Jacksonville against a team that hasn’t won in ages.
Personally, I think there is a good reason they are favored. Now, Raiders fans are probably pissed off because they certainly want to lose this game to keep the projected No. 1 overall pick. However, this just feels like a trap from the oddsmakers. I don’t see how many public bettors are going to be flocking to lay anything with Las Vegas.
I’ll also disclose that I bet them at -1, and it now has moved to -1.5 despite again having over 70% of the cash on the Jags at plus money. Respected money is on Vegas, and I hate to break that to Raider fans.
49ers (6-8) +1 at Dolphins (6-8): -112, BetRivers
The last wager that I have money on right now is the 49ers at +1.5, but the best number you can get on it now is +1. In fact, San Francisco is actually a -1 favorite at DraftKings right now, so it is pretty clear that the books don’t know what to do with this game and view it as a coin flip. I do find it curious that the 49ers third-string running back was ruled out, yet the line still was moving toward them at many books.
The general public hates the 49ers right now, especially after that loss to the Rams last week. They have lost four of their last five games, and people don’t have faith in them. I know the Dolphins have also lost two of their last three, but I still feel like people have more faith in them since Tua has come back. I’m buying low on San Francisco here on the road.
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