Looking for value in Week 4 of the NFL season? A smart parlay play combines the Ravens to win outright and the Seahawks to cover a generous +9.5 spread. At +147 odds on BetMGM, this parlay offers a balance of safety and potential payout. Baltimore, fresh off a near-collapse against the Cowboys, will look to bounce back at home against the undefeated Bills, while Seattle, despite being labeled as a potential underdog, is poised to keep things close against the public-favored Detroit Lions.
Ravens ML, Seahawks +9.5 (+147, BetMGM)
These are a few teams that I will be looking to back here this weekend in the NFL, so why not parlay them together and give ourselves a bit of a cushion on each for plus money?
Baltimore is taking on the undefeated 3-0 Buffalo Bills, who are coming off of annihilating the Jacksonville Jaguars on Monday Night Football. Everyone watched that game and saw how well they played, and whenever there is a blowout in a primetime game, it is almost a rule to fade that team the next time they play. The Bills are going to be a very popular underdog this weekend, and whenever the public is backing a dog, it is quite wise to fade them. The Bills are a good team, and I even sprinkled them to win the Super Bowl over the summer since most jumped off their wagon, but this is a game I feel they will lose.
The Ravens almost blew a 28-6 lead against the Dallas Cowboys last weekend, something that will be fresh in the public’s mind. The whole narrative behind their blown leads will play fantastic here, as it will draw more bets to the Bills getting some points. The Ravens could be 3-0 right now, let’s not forget that. They have played well enough to be undefeated as well, but let a couple of games slip through their fingers. I still think they are one of the best teams in the AFC, and at home in a big spot, I think they get to .500.
It will be a staple this year for me to fade the Detroit Lions ATS, as outside of the Kansas City Chiefs, they may be the most public team in football. Everyone bets on them every week no matter who they are facing. The Seahawks are 3-0 and undefeated, and yet, the Lions are going to be one of the most wagered on teams of the week. Sure, they are a very talented and good team, but this is a letdown spot for them, and I think this game is going to be a lot closer than people think. Detroit hasn’t exactly played lights out to this point.
The Seahawks might be a fraud, but if I am getting over a touchdown in a teaser, I will gladly bet them here. I’ll likely be betting them at the regular +3.5 number as well, as it has come down from +4.5 despite over 60 percent of bets being on the Lions. Seattle is certainly live here, and I think they could win the game. Mike MacDonald has done a good job with that defense, as we know he is a defensive guru, and the offense has at least been competent enough.
Longshot: Ravens ML, Seahawks ML, Jaguars ML, Falcons ML (+2413)
I already talked about the Ravens and Seahawks. It’s disgusting, but I promise you, everyone and their brother will be betting on the Houston Texans this weekend. Absolutely no one will want a piece of the Jaguars after that disgraceful performance in Buffalo. The books would LOVE if the Jags were somehow able to win this game. It is worth a shot. The Saints have turned themselves public now after their first two weeks, and their offense was bad last weekend at home against a lackluster Eagles defense. The Falcons are better than what they have shown, and should have beaten the Chiefs last week if they had just not been stupid and kicked the field goal to make it 22-20. I like them to take New Orleans off their high and send them back to .500.
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