There will be many ways to play Super Bowl LIX on BetMGM on Sunday, with hundreds of markets available to bet on. The Philadelphia Eagles and Kansas City Chiefs will duke it out to see who will take home the Lombardi Trophy, and everyone is going to have their opinion on this game. It really is a coin flip as of right now, with the Chiefs being an incredibly small favorite at -1 right now at BetMGM. The total is set at 48.5, and has been fluctuating back and forth between that number and 49.5. Because of this, you can actually get some really good plus money by taking some alternate spreads and totals.
When a game is lined as close as this, you can get better odds if you just take a team to win by a key number, regardless of which side you like. Say you like the Chiefs to win the game, and they are lined at -1 right now. The chances that they win by just a single point are probably pretty low, and they are much more likely to win by the key number of three points than one. You can get Chiefs -2.5 for +100 instead of laying -110 for a spread of -1. Maybe they win by a touchdown, which is seven points, also a very real possibility. You can get Chiefs -6.5 for +200 odds.
Since the Eagles are small underdogs, if you like them to win, you can apply this same logic with them. Eagles -2.5 is +110, while Eagles -6.5 is +220. Playing these teams to win by key numbers that games often land on can be very profitable at plus money, and it all depends on which side you like in the game. Personally, I could see this one going either way. More bets and money are on the Eagles moneyline to win, but the Chiefs are getting more bets and money on the spread. So, what does that say? It says that no one has any idea what is going to happen. There is no public consensus on this game.
There seems to be this stigma out there, however, that the Eagles simply can’t blow out the Chiefs by any amount because Kansas City has Patrick Mahomes going for a “three-peat” in championships with Andy Reid. Did everyone forget that Reid and Mahomes were blown out by the Tampa Bay Bucs in the Super Bowl just four years ago? They can absolutely lose this game by margin. I think Eagles by 13-18 at +850 is worth a sprinkle, and maybe even some baby peanuts on Eagles by 19-24 at +1650.
Philadelphia had the No. 1 passing defense in the NFL this season, and also ranked No. 1 in yards per play allowed. We have seen several fantastic passing defenses dominate in the Super Bowl before, such as the Seattle Seahawks “Legion of Boom” in 2013 vs. Peyton Manning and the Broncos. Then, that same Denver defense in 2015 with their “No Fly Zone” shutting down Cam Newton and the Carolina Panthers. I don’t even have to mention the 1985 Bears and 2000 Ravens, I’m sure, but those last examples were much more modern.
I am not comparing this Eagles defense to those all time great teams, but I personally think we see a lower-scoring game overall. It isn’t insane to think Philadelphia could smack the Chiefs a dose of humility here and put an end to their run with a statement game. Take a couple of alt spreads for plus money, and maybe even an alt under if you really are feeling dangerous.
LISTEN TO YOU BETMGM NETWORK’S “BETTER YOU BET” PODCAST (RECORDED LIVE FROM RADIO ROW)
Nick Kostos, the undisputed King of Wagertainment, brings you the best bets, hottest takes, and electric energy. Alongside the sharp and charismatic Femi Abebefe, Nick covers the biggest matchups, latest line movements, and futures markets like no one else. Expect up-to-the-minute coverage of backdoor covers, bad beats, and the emotional highs and lows that come with every bet. This isn’t just sports betting talk—it’s an experience. Listen to their latest segments, recorded live from New Orleans on Radio Row!
Related
