A poll published Friday projects that next week’s recall election is likely to end with Gov. Gavin Newsom winning in a landslide.
The UC Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies conducted the survey, showing that only 38.5% of likely voters were in favor of removing Newsom before the end of his term, and 60.1% opposed.
It’s quite a change from just six weeks ago, when another Berkeley IGS survey had likely voters nearly evenly split on the recall, at 47% likely to vote yes and 50% likely to vote no. Those results likely served as a wake-up call to Democratic voters across the state.
"The findings underscore a significant change in tempo in the state, as decidedly more Californians are attending to the pending election, and are intent on voting no," said G. Cristina Mora, co-director of the Institute of Government Studies, in a statement.
Newsom’s campaign has been driven into high gear in recent weeks, with new campaign ads out with former President Barack Obama and former liberal presidential candidate Bernie Sanders, and appearances in the Bay Area with current Vice President Kamala Harris.
The top contender seeking to usurp Newsom, conservative talk show host Larry Elder, has taken some heat in recent weeks facing sexual harassment allegations and falsely claiming during a CNN interview that kids are less likely to get sick from COVID-19.
Elder was the first choice of 38% of likely voters surveyed, up from 18% in the July poll by Berkeley IGS.
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