Why Outbreaks Like Coronavirus Spread Exponentially, and How to Flatten the Curve

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Since the first case of coronavirus was found, new cases have begun to come up at an exponential rate. Graphs of the spread show a sharp turn upward, and community members everywhere are growing increasingly concerned. 

According to the Washington Post, if the curve continues at the rate it's going, there would be 100 million cases of the virus in the United States by May. As people recover, the spreading of cases declines. 

Unfortunately, despite efforts to self-isolate and socially distance ourselves from others, it's near impossible to completely isolate the disease. Former health commissioner for Baltimore Leana Wen told the Washington Post that there are some impracticalities with forced quarantines, as illustrated by interactive graphs on the site. 

Why outbreaks like coronavirus spread exponentially, and how to "flatten the curve" https://t.co/yDJnTMuWS3

— The Washington Post (@washingtonpost) March 15, 2020

"Many people work in the city and live in neighboring counties, and vice versa. Would people be separated from their families? How would every road be blocked? How would supplies reach residents?" she explains. 

Luckily, there are other ways to slow an outbreak. Health officials encourage people to avoid public gatherings, and stay home more, a method they're referring to as "social distancing." While it's impossible to completely isolate the disease, it's possible to give it less opportunities to spread. 

Drew Harris, a population health researcher and assistant professor at The Thomas Jefferson University College of Public Health says, "We control the desire to be in public spaces by closing down public spaces. Italy is closing all of its restaurants. China is closing everything, and we are closing things now, too. Reducing the opportunities for gathering helps folks social distance." 

Moderate social distancing will usually help matters more than attempting to quarantine the illness, the Washington Post reports.