NFL Week 4 is packed with excitement and betting opportunities, and we’ve compiled the ultimate guide to help you navigate the action. This hub features everything you need to make informed wagers—from the best player prop bets to sharp insights and injury updates. Discover why bettors are backing teams like the Steelers, Bengals, and Bills, or find hidden value in teams like the Falcons and Colts. Dive into DFS value picks, parlay strategies, and key betting trends that could make all the difference this week. Whether you're looking for upset predictions or game-specific insights, this hub has you covered. Get ready to maximize your Week 4 NFL betting potential!
Click on any of the article titles below to get started!
Exclusive Week 4 Sportsbook Offers & Promotions
Week 4 is the perfect opportunity to kick off your betting journey at a new sportsbook with a bang. Whether you're a seasoned bettor or just starting out, BetQL has you covered with the best sportsbook promotions for Week 4. From bonus bets to odds boosts, these offers give you the edge you need to maximize your profits. In this article, we'll highlight the top sportsbook promos available for NFL Week 4, making it easier than ever to place smart, profitable bets all season long. THOUSANDS of dollars of Bonus Bets are waiting for you!
NFL Underdogs Winning at Historic Pace in 2024
It’s been a wild start to the NFL season and nothing sums it up better than this. “In Week 1, the Cincinnati Bengals were -8 home favorites over the New England Patriots, the biggest spread of the week. They lost the game outright, thus sending the public square bettors and Circa Survivor contestants into shambles right away. In Week 2, the Baltimore Ravens were the biggest favorite of the week at -9 against the Las Vegas Raiders at home, and they lost outright. In Week 3, the Bengals were once again the biggest favorites of the week, sitting at -7.5 against the Washington Commanders at home. They lost, as I am sure you could have guessed.” That’s not all, though. See more betting trends and the insane record that underdogs of six-plus points have at the moment heading into Week 4!
Best Player Prop Bets: Passing, Rushing and Receiving Picks
NFL prop guru Dan Karpuc breaks down his favorite options of the week, including Bills TE Dalton Kincaid Over 36.5 Receiving Yards vs. the Ravens (-125, BetMGM). Already on Josh Allen, which you’ll read about, Karpuc love’s Kincaid’s outlook this week against Baltimore. “The Ravens have allowed 93.33 yards per game to opposing tight ends (2nd-most in NFL), including huge outputs from Brock Bowers (nine catches, 98 yards) and Jake Ferguson (six catches for 95 yards) in back-to-back weeks. Coming off a 41-yard game against the Jaguars, Kincaid is due for a breakout and this could be the week,” he wrote. Check out every other pick in this all-encompassing guide.
Week 4 Injury Edge: Breakout Spot for Najee Harris
Injuries are already taking a major toll on the NFL season and Karpuc did a deep dive on which players are already ruled out and how that might impact player prop markets. With backup RB Jaylen Warren (knee) out for the Steelers and both DeForest Buckner and Kwity Paye out for the Colts, Najee Harris is in the best-possible spot for any RB this week. “This Colts defense has surrendered an NFL-owrst 136.33 rushing yards per game to opposing running backs. Harris has gotten 20, 17 and 18 carries for 70, 69 and 70 rushing yards, but should have a great chance to break out in this game with Paye out and DeForest Buckner on the IR. This defensive line is terrible at stopping the run and the Steelers’ run-heavy offensive attack should crush them. Cordarrelle Patterson may steal a few carries, but this should be Harris’ big week to prove he can be a three-down back if called upon.” Find out which specific props have the most value and check in on other situations.
Public Report Week 4: Bettors Back Steelers, Bengals & Bills
Using data from our friends at BetMGM, Matt Horner reveals ticket and handle data for this week’s most popular bets. If you like to fade the public (or ride with the public), you need to read this report! “As it stands, the Steelers are the most bet team of the weekend over at BetMGM. A whopping 75 percent of spread bets are on them to cover here at -1.5, a short number. They are also getting 73 percent of the money on the spread, so indeed, Pittsburgh is one of the biggest liabilities for the sportsbook this weekend. The public is all over them here, so what could possibly go wrong for Justin Fields and company?”
Week 4 DFS Breakdown: Value Picks at Every Position
Bryan Zarpentine goes position by position and highlights daily fantasy football options for DraftKings contests! How about rostering Andy Dalton coming off his huge outing last week? “Don’t check your calendar, Dalton is actually a viable fantasy quarterback in 2024. He threw for over 300 yards and three touchdowns against the Raiders last week and could easily do it again this week. The Cincinnati defense didn’t impress anyone in Monday’s loss to the Commanders. The Bengals are now hitting the road during a short week, which won’t help them either. Not that Dalton needs any extra motivation, but playing his former team could give him a point to prove this week, making him a somewhat sentimental DFS option at quarterback,” Zarpentine wrote. Check out all the other picks, including a spend-up, mid-tier and sleeper for every position!
How to Bet Rams at Bears in Week 4
You Better You Bet hosts Nick Kostos and Femi Abebefe break down the Rams vs. Bears game. “I’ll take Sean McVay over Matt Eber(lose) any day,” Kostos noted. “But I think teasing the Rams to +8.5 … feels like a pretty decent teaser leg. I might end up just betting the Rams to win the game.” Find out if the BetQL model agrees and check out what Femi had to say about this interesting matchup!
NFL Week 4 Upset Predictions: Underdog Bets
Speaking of underdogs, there are a few to love this week, as detailed in this article. We’ll make you click the link above to see the crazy pick, but the Panthers (1-2) are appealing against the Bengals (0-3). “Andy Dalton has the opportunity to do the funniest thing ever this week: dominate his former team after starting the year as the backup in Carolina. Going 26-for-37 for 319 yards, three touchdowns and no interceptions last week in his first start of the year against the Raiders, the Red Rifle will certainly have momentum on his side heading into this one against the Bengals, who haven’t won a game yet. Something is wrong in Cincinnati right now and despite getting Tee Higgins back last week, weren’t able to beat the Commanders and made Jayden Daniels look like an MVP caliber QB in the process. I think Dalton will have another big week and Cincinnati’s defense will continue to fall apart,” wrote Karpuc.
Sharp Report Week 4: Falcons & Colts Offer Key Value
Using more data, Horner explains how he’s going to bet the NFL in Week 4. Step inside the mind of a profitable bettor and decide what you want to tail! As he wrote, “Whenever the public is backing an underdog, you can almost guarantee I’ll be on the other side.”
Why Baltimore Is Best Bet vs. Bills on Sunday Night Football
Not only does Lamar Jackson have that insane trend in his favor, but Horner is thinking about fading the public in this one. “I love fading teams the week after they have a big prime time performance. Everyone watches the prime time games, as they are usually the only game on at the time (I know there was a MNF double-header, which is still dumb). People pay more attention to each team when there is less going on at once. The public will see that huge win over a bad Jags team and start to fall in love with the Bills.”
Why Deshaun Watson Could Break Out This Week
It's been ugly so far, but this could be the week when Watson finally breaks out for the Browns against the Raiders (the NFL Toilet Bowl). “For starters, his receivers have really had an issue with doing what they are supposed to do, which is catch the football. According to Pro Football Reference, his targets have a 12.5 percent drop rate, and Cleveland receivers have dropped 14 total balls already this season in three games. That is the most in the NFL so far, so he has not been getting any help from his pass-catchers.” That’s not it, though. Find out what other factors should regress back to the mean sooner rather than later.
Breakdown: Betting On Chiefs in the Tayor Swift Era
We answer the most important question of the decade: is Taylor Swift positively or negatively affecting Kansas City’s SU and ATS results? The definitive answer is inside and the haters better Shake It Off.
Insane Ravens-Bills Betting Trend You Need To Know
Find out why you only should bet on Lamar Jackson when he’s a small favorite or an underdog and why that matters for this Sunday Night Football matchup against the Bills.
Week 4 Parlay Picks: Ravens ML & Seahawks +9.5
Get +147 BetMGM odds on this simple two-legger or +2313 on a hand-crafted longshot! Sportsbooks love when bettors create parlays, but this one is smart.
Caleb Williams Leads NFL in Surprising Metric
After making a name for himself as one of the most accurate passers in college, the No. 1 overall pick is struggling at the moment. Find out what stat leads the NFL and find out if we expect it to turn around sooner rather than later or linger all season long.
Nick Kostos Blasts Eagles HC Nick Sirianni
“The head coach needs a brain transplant.” It’s a bold statement, but You Better You Bet host Nick Kostos is known for not holding back. Kostos launched into one of his signature rants, ripping Eagles head coach Nick Sirianni for several questionable decisions in Philadelphia’s 15-12 victory over the Saints in Week 3. Read Kate Constable’s coverage of one of Kostos’ epic diatribes!
Stay tuned for full coverage of the Monday Night Football doubleheader tomorrow and good luck on your Sunday slate action!