Buffalo, NY (WBEN) We're two months away from the special election in NY27 between Chris Jacobs and Nate McMurray. The outcome provides different scenarios in what happens in November.
Once thought as a potential candidate who could have almost been assured the NY27 seat, Medal of Honor recipient David Bellavia says how the special election unfolds will set the course for the primary and general elections. Bellavia says it's an uphill climb for McMurray no matter what, however, "if Nate McMurray pulls this off, it will change the way Republicans select candidates." Bellavia says committees get upset at chairpeople when their candidate loses and they start from scratch.
While Bellavia enjoys surmising all of the possibilities, he feels a McMurray win in the special election is only a "small possibility".
Bellavia says if Jacobs does win, he holds his own destiny. "If he chooses to break away from everything he's talked about, I don't think Chris Jacobs is someone who won't be susceptible to a general election," says Bellavia. "If they redistrict and it becomes more blue, it's a tougher fight. If it's redistricted and it takes in more of Tom Reed's district, where it's more red, you may find a place for Parlato, Mychaliw or Ortt to jump in,"