NEW YORK (WCBS 880) — The governor's race on Tuesday hinges on what happens in the five boroughs: How many voters turn out, and how many Democrats might be convinced to vote for a Republican?
"If the city turnout is strong, it probably is good news for Gov. Hochul," said Chris Coffey, a political consultant who's unaffiliated with any campaign. "If the city turnout is light, it is probably bad news for Gov. Hochul."
Lee Zeldin's to-do list is a bit longer, Coffey argues. The Long Island Republican congressman needs to flip some Democratic voters and hope some more stay home.
"You want to look at the vote in New York City," he added. "Historically, for a Republican to have a chance, they need to be herding with 30% or higher of the New York City vote."
Zeldin has focused most of his campaign events around the five boroughs, emphasizing that he would get along well with Mayor Adams. The mayor doesn't see it the same way.
"Republicans are winning in Long Island or parts of upstate, and so they don't need to win in New York City, but they need to not get blown out in New York City, and I think that's the dynamic we're seeing," Coffey said.
The governor has also enlisted plenty of high-profile names to help increase the Democratic vote in the interim.
"That's why they've got Barack Obama and Bill Clinton and Hillary Clinton and Cher," Coffey added. "They've really had a who's who of the Democratic Party coming out to support Gov. Hochul."
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