Last night's Democratic victories are cause for concern for Republican leaders across the United States, but one analyst says those concerns don't extend to Louisiana.
"Louisiana is not really competitive when you talk about national races," JMC Analytics pollster John Couvillon said, noting that the Republican members of Louisiana's congressional delegation will be safe during next November's election. "I don't really see any kind of impact for Louisiana."
That's because Louisiana is not a swing state. As a result, Republican members of Louisiana's congressional delegation will be save during next year's midterm elections. Couvillon says the United States Supreme Court's decision about the state's second majority Black district could also tilt the balance of power further towards the GOP.
"If the Supreme Court strikes down the plan, I would expect, at a minimum, something like the previous 5-1 plan," Couvillon said, referring to the pre-2024 Congressional map in which five districts were majority white and swung Republican.
However, next year's midterm could still be consequential for two Louisiana congressmen. Couvillon says if another Blue Wave rolls during the midterm, House Speaker Mike Johnson and Majority Leader Steve Scalise could lose their leadership roles and the power that comes with them.
"All of a sudden, life gets a lot less fun because, basically, all you can do then is block legislation or try to block legislation as opposed to being able to steer anything to passage," Couvillon said.