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New poll shows Letlow leading Cassidy, raising questions about “Trump Effect”

Cassidy challenges Letlow to televised debates, but not Fleming

Cassidy challenges Letlow to televised debates, but not Fleming

Officials photos

A new poll in Louisiana’s U.S. Senate race is drawing attention, showing Julia Letlow with a narrow early lead over incumbent Bill Cassidy.

The two-day survey, conducted last week by Fabrizio Lee & Associates, shows Letlow at 27 percent, Cassidy close behind at 26 percent, and John Fleming at 19 percent, with 28 percent of voters still undecided.


The results are prompting questions about what may be driving Letlow’s early edge including the impact of President Donald Trump and his endorsement in the race.

Political analyst Ed Chervenak says the influence is clear.

“In a word, yes,” Chervenak said. “The endorsement from Donald Trump gave Letlow the momentum she needed to jump out ahead.”

That early boost, he says, has helped Letlow establish footing in a competitive race. But he cautions against assuming the outcome is already decided.

“It’s always hard to call any political race a done deal,” Chervenak said. “People still have to get out and vote, and there’s time for things to change.”

Despite trailing in the poll, Cassidy still has key advantages, including financial resources and continued voter outreach.

“Cassidy has a pretty sizable war chest,” Chervenak said. “And he’s continuing to have conversations with voters, which means there are still opportunities to shift momentum.”

With nearly a third of voters still undecided, analysts say the race remains wide open and the coming months will be critical in determining whether Letlow’s early lead holds or begins to shift.

For now, one thing is clear: the contest is gaining attention, and national political influence could play a major role in how it unfolds.