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ERCOT says there is a 16.8% chance Texas experiences rolling blackouts this winter

Dallas during the Texas winter storm of 2021
Dallas during the Texas winter storm of 2021
Getty Images/Gabriel Cano

The freeze yesterday morning and the chilly weather we'll be experiencing this week means one thing: winter is on its way, y'all.

What used to be a joyous occasion and much-needed break from the heat now induces panic in every Texan, as cold weather now means a chance for another Snowmageddon.


Along with the icy roads and the complete shutdown of our state, we also have all those rolling blackouts to look forward to.  After a few years you would think we would be better prepared, and according to ERCOT, we are.

ERCOT says that Texas only has a "16.8%" chance of rolling blackouts this year.  Those chances are highest between 8am and 9am according to an ERCOT grid readiness report, and ONLY in a worst-case scenario like the winter storm we had in January.

In similar conditions, the chance of outages would greatly reduce to 4.93% after 9am.

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