Week 3 of the NFL season is in the books, but we’re a few short days from the start of Week 4. It’s sometimes good to get ahead of the curve and make NFL bets early in the week before lines start to move based on factors like injuries, past performance, public and sharp action and more!
Broncos (+7) at Jets
Through the first three weeks of the season, teams that are an underdog of 5.5 points or more are 14-2 against the spread, including five straight-up wins. This is a game that should be targeted early before the spread dips below a touchdown or below that 5.5-point threshold. Denver has showcased a top-10 defense this season while Bo Nix looked proficient as a passer last week on top of being a dangerous runner. The Broncos are also 2-0 against the spread on the road this season while the jury should still be out on the Jets despite wins over the Titans and Patriots. Ultimately, this game could be too low-scoring for the Jets to cover a touchdown.
Texans (-6) vs. Jaguars
This line has already moved quickly from 4.5 points to 6 points after Jacksonville’s Monday night disaster. It’s best to jump on the line before it moves beyond a touchdown, which could easily happen. That’s just how bad Jacksonville has been this season. On top of that, the Texans have won eight of their last 10 games against the Jags with all but two of those eight victories coming by at least a touchdown. Forget about Houston being 0-3 against the spread thus far. The complete ineptness by the Jaguars is far more revealing, and going on the road in a short week isn’t going to help.
Chargers (+8) vs. Chiefs
Remember that trend about underdogs of 5.5 points or more. That should apply to this game as well. If you jump on this game sooner rather than later, you can get the Chargers with at least seven points. While everyone loves the Chiefs, three close wins has to be a sign that they aren’t fully up to speed just yet. Also, keep in mind that over the last six years, the Chargers have three wins while of six Kansas City’s nine wins have come by a touchdown or less, including two that went to overtime. With the way Jim Harbaugh has the Chargers running the ball and playing tough defense, the Chiefs are bound to find themselves in another close game.
Seahawks (+4) at Lions
For next Monday, don’t bank on the Lions being able to cover more than a field goal. The Detroit offense is moving the ball, although it’s not translating into enough points. They also have the 3-0 Seahawks coming to town. Through three weeks, Seattle has a top-5 defense while Geno Smith is among the league leaders in passing yards. Even if the Lions get rolling offensively, Smith and Seattle’s wide receiver will be able to keep pace, leading to a game that could easily be decided by a field goal or less.
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