Every week, the NFL seems to give us at least one big surprise result. Also, since a lot of games could easily go either way, there is often value in taking the moneyline of a few underdogs. There is a good chance we’ll see a few underdogs triumph in Week 7, and here are some excellent candidates to do just that.
Giants (2-4) +140 vs. Eagles (3-2)
The Giants haven't been quite as bad as their 2-4 record might indicate. Only one team has scored more than 21 points against them, and that was in Week 1. Also, rookie Malik Nabers and Tyrone Tracy have given them some new weapons. Meanwhile, the Eagles have more problems than you might think, including scoring 21 points or less in four straight games and having one of the worst turnover differentials in the NFL. It’s also worth noting that the Eagles have lost three of their last four annual trips to MetLife Stadium to play the G-Men. Given all of that, it wouldn’t be that surprising to see the Giants win this one.
Texans (5-1) +125 at Packers (4-2)
At this point, C.J. Stroud is probably the more reliable quarterback in this matchup. He also has better playmakers around him, especially after Joe Mixon had his second 100-yard rushing game of the season last week. Plus, Houston already has two road wins this season, so adding another wouldn’t be a huge surprise. In fairness, the Packers are 4-2 and playing at home in this game. But keep in mind that Green Bay’s four wins have come against the Colts, Titans, Rams, and Cardinals. They’ve yet to prove they can beat a quality opponent, so we’re inclined to give Stroud and the Texans the benefit of the doubt.
Chiefs (5-0) +100 at 49ers (3-3)
While it’s a one-point spread, the Chiefs are technically the underdog in this game. Obviously, they’re on the road and San Francisco is a good team despite a 3-3 record, so it makes sense that the Chiefs are slight underdogs. But the Chiefs still have Patrick Mahomes and they might also have the better defense in this matchup. They’ve already found ways to win road games against the Falcons and Chargers, so winning on the road isn’t that much of an imposition for them. Finally, while these are the two preeminent teams in the NFL right now, Mahomes is 4-0 against the 49ers in his career, and each of those games except for last season’s Super Bowl were decided by double digits. We have to actually see the 49ers beat the Chiefs until we can believe it can happen.
Steelers (4-2) +115 vs. Jets (2-4)
The Jets certainly played better last week despite losing to the Bills. But that still doesn’t justify them being road favorites against a 4-2 Steelers team. Pittsburgh’s defense is one of the best in the NFL and Aaron Rodgers can’t seem to stop throwing interceptions. The Steelers have also excelled in primetime under Mike Tomlin. While it’s fair to question the Pittsburgh offense, the Steelers should find a way to win an ugly defensive slugfest against the Jets on Sunday night.
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